Another Economic Crisis Looming?

Fairhope, Alabama

UPDATE: Mr. Genes Beans has since re-opened (periodically) for take-out/curbside service.

Streets deserted


Chamber of commerce office closed.


BIG RECESSION BEING PREDICTED

With many local stores/restaurants closed or operations cut back indefinitely because of the coronavirus threat, contingency planning for municipal budget cuts and a possible stimulus later to help local small businesses recover has begun (promotional, marketing?).

The stock market has already crashed and some national economists are predicting a recession comparable to the Great Recession of 2007 - 2009; the federal government is about to enact its own a $2 trillion emergency aid package in response, including aid to small businesses.



Some businesses "temporarily" closed.


CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC FALLOUT

Loss of sales and lodging tax revenue would be felt first: that could cause significant shortfalls in this year's municipal budget.  Property tax revenue loss would come later, if home values decline significantly as they did during the last recession.

Projected city sales tax revenue in this year's budget was $9.1 million; lodging tax $500K. Property tax (real estate) projection was $5.6 million.

Mayor Wilson told the city council she has already been meeting with department heads about budget cuts and has identified about $2.6 million of possible "low hanging fruit" (Street Department, Golf, Gas Dept., Police/Fire, et al); but that could be just the beginning based upon the severity and length of the problem.

Some major capital projects may have to be postponed; but others funded with impact fees or outside grants may be able to move forward.

Wilson said she hopes to avoid tapping into the city's emergency "rainy day" fund; it may be needed for other emergencies (currently $7 million).


Mr. Genes Beans closed.

  
TREASURER TO PROVIDE NEW PROJECTIONS

Councilman Burrell asked for an itemized list of the proposed cuts for council's review ...  and for city treasurer Kim Creech to come up with new budget estimates based on up to a 50% loss of sales tax revenue for the remainder of this year.

The virus pandemic itself could last until July, according to some current projections; economic impacts could last considerably longer though.



Pandemic timeline projections.

Comments

Anonymous said…
This is a great opportunity for the City Council to reflect and realize that spending taxpayers money to purchase properties like the Fairhope clock corner, K-1 Center, etc. may not be such a great idea. When times are good some Council Members spend taxpayers money like it will never run out. In my opinion, some of them do this do simply to ensure they get reelected. The Fairhope City Council needs to get out of the REAL ESTATE business.
Anonymous said…
Why don’t you do something positive like telling people to take all those N95 masks sitting in their garage and donate them to Thomas Hospital?
Wise Guy said…
Real estate is always a good investment, not really spending money unlss unnecessary restrictions are put on it like conservation easements.

They can sell it if need be.
Anonymous said…
Property is suddenly going to become a lot less expensive!
Anonymous said…
first off, people dont have n95s sitting in their garage. second. when the market is down real estate prices are also deflated, so depending on whether you want to be liquid or you are short term or long term, all weigh in on whether its a good investment. last, fairhope times you are spot on. in 09 and 10, we blamed the recession on bp in gulf shores but it was really the economy in general. you cant run the economy on easy credit and cheap debt. a correction is long overdue, and was happening before the cv thing became an issue. life as we knew it is gone for a whiile
Anonymous said…
Trump was calling all this a hoax just a month ago.
Anonymous said…
N95’s are widely used by people doing yard work, wood work, sanding and other activities, they are sold at Walmart, Home Depot and Lowes in different departments for all these reasons and yes many people keep a supply somewhere in their home or at work.
Anonymous said…
At no time in history has so many been hurt by so few, the media.
Anonymous said…
Thank you for Fairhope Times telling people the truth.
Anonymous said…
Two people being like-minded is sometimes the truth, many times not the truth.
Anonymous said…
MOBILE, Ala. (WKRG) Providence Hospital is accepting donations for personal protective equipment amid the Coronavirus outbreak.
The hospital is requesting isolation gowns, ear loop or tie masks, N95 respirators, hand sanitizers, face shields, surface disinfectants, powered air purifying respirators and controlled air purifying respirators.
Individuals or companies able to make a donation should contact the hospital command center at 251-266-1677. Arrangements will be made to pick up the donation, according to a post on the hospital’s Facebook page.
Anonymous said…
While the Mayor looks to cut service as I am sure all the other city's will do. Let us explore a new revenue source. Like a serious impact fee, I understand the County to be the one to move with that. But after talking to our elected Rep. I got the feeling we may never see one. But if all the local goverments began to call instead of lowely ol me. I could see this in place in short order. Now I am sure there is many a reason to put that asside. But if you have to decide between essential service or impact fee, what is it?
Publisher said…
The city already has imposes maximum allowed impact fees. The county has none.
Anonymous said…
President Trump was sent by Jesus to save our country!
Anonymous said…
The impact fee limits are imposed at state level. I do not think the coastal cities should be limited by the state in this area. It is a matter of the state unnecessarily dictating local policy. The clear beneficiaries of a lower impact fee are builders and realtors. I also remember the mayor and council kind of complaining about the restrictions on cities’ spending of impact fees. That is another over reach by the state.. I am afraid our state delegation is outnumbered . It will take good coordination to suppress those lobbies.
Anonymous said…
To think, just higher impact fees will solve all our problems.
Anonymous said…
Look nobody is trying to solve all your problems, as from your post there must be many. But one tool in the box to use. If you have better ideas then post them or step to the side so the grown ups can talk.
Anonymous said…
Tinder liberal has a tantrum and insults when asked to expand on their position, and you think I got problems. You first, what are your other ideas?
Anonymous said…
Easy to see who the adult in the room is.
Anonymous said…
Expand my idea-liberal. Not even close, when you provide better than what has been put out there then I will expand. To put it better, to attack without a plan or idea is to invite your own just reward.
Anonymous said…
A middle school cafeteria food fight is more civilized than some of the commenters on here.
Anonymous said…
Love.
Anonymous said…
I can imagine, God, Son, and the Holy Ghost discussing “Our Country” and Jesus says America needs their own Savior, my influence is slipping. God and the Holy Ghost are encouraging, but are willing to at least listen to Jesus’ thoughts. Can we get a Netflix documentary on how Jesus pitched Trump, that has to be the greatest miracle ever preformed.
Anonymous said…
If you had a choice to have dinner with Hillary or Donald we know you would pick Hillary. Jesus picked Donald.
Ambrose Bierce said…
Here's a piece of satire, from The Devil's Dictionary, to satisfy each of you. The definition both touches on the eternal powers that be and allows parties on either side of the partisan divide to interpret it in their own favor...

SATAN, n.
One of the Creator’s lamentable mistakes, repented in sashcloth and axes. Being instated as an archangel, Satan made himself multifariously objectionable and was finally expelled from Heaven. Half-way in his descent he paused, bent his head in thought a moment and at last went back.
‘‘There is one favor that I should like to ask,’’ said he.
‘‘Name it.’’
‘‘Man, I understand, is about to be created. He will need laws.’’
‘‘What, wretch! you his appointed adversary, charged from the dawn of eternity with hatred of his soul—you ask for the right to make his laws?’’
‘‘Pardon; what I have to ask is that he be permitted to make them himself.’’
IT WAS SO ORDERED.
Anonymous said…
The 4 steps of bloggers.
1.Someone states their opinion.
2.Others state opposing opinions.
3.Arguing goes back and forth.
4.Bloggers than start arguing their superior intelligence.
Publisher said…
We here usually try to cut that off at some point when that happens.
High School Boy Debate Tricks Won't Work Here said…
"4.Bloggers than start arguing their superior intelligence."

4. Bloggers attribute false motives to strangers who expose the fallacies of the actual arguments made in steps 1-3 (i.e. further argumentation).
Anonymous said…
only in your own mind
Anonymous said…
Fairhope is blessed to have such a wise ol owl.
Anonymous said…
The wisdom that some deliver with back handed compliments.
Anonymous said…
I'd love to wallow, too, but I cannot find a six-foot radius of social distance in this mud.
Anonymous said…
Addicted to sarcasm and belittlement.
Jeff Y.C.F.S. Foxworthy said…
Take heart: no addiction is insurmountable. The first step is recognizing that you have a problem.